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Economic free fall, war pushes Iran to the brink as economy spirals and prices surge

One million jobs lost; the stakes remain high with exports, especially oil, under threat from blockades and ongoing instability, the path to recovery appears uncertain, raising fears of deeper economic collapse if tensions persist.

War has plunged Iran into a deep economic crisis, with at least one million jobs already lost and millions more at risk since the conflict with the United States and Israel. The country’s key industries have been severely disrupted, while food prices surge at an alarming pace, placing immense pressure on households.

Airstrikes over more than five weeks have damaged around 20,000 factories, roughly 20 percent of Iran’s production capacity, has crippled sectors such as steel, petrochemicals, pharmaceuticals, and manufacturing.

Major industrial hubs have halted operations, triggering sharp increases in the prices of essential goods, including plastics, fabrics, and food packaging.

The economic shock is being felt across daily life. Food inflation has skyrocketed, with chicken prices rising by 75% in a single month, while beef and lamb have jumped 68%, and dairy products by nearly 50%.

Analysts warn that between 10 and 12 million jobs, nearly half the workforce—could ultimately be affected.

Beyond the numbers, the human impact is growing more severe. Workers across multiple sectors, from factory employees to drivers, journalists, and freelancers, have lost their incomes, according to news reports.

Women have been particularly affected, as widespread internet disruptions have cut off remote work opportunities, leading to a surge in unemployment claims.

Even before the conflict, Iran’s economy was under strain, with declining per capita income and persistent inflation. Now, according to international estimates, millions more could fall below the poverty line, while unemployment claims have surged to three times last year’s levels.

Despite mounting hardship, Tehran’s leadership remains defiant. Officials believe the country’s economy, hardened by decades of sanctions, can endure prolonged pressure.

As leverage, Iran is using its strategic position over the Strait of Hormuz, signaling it may restrict or reopen the vital shipping route depending on the course of the conflict and sanctions.

However, the stakes remain high. With exports, especially oil, under threat from blockades and ongoing instability, the path to recovery appears uncertain, raising fears of deeper economic collapse if tensions persist.

Economic free fall, war pushes Iran to the brink

One million jobs lost as economy spirals and prices surge; the stakes remain high with exports, especially oil, under threat from blockades and ongoing instability, the path to recovery appears uncertain, raising fears of deeper economic collapse if tensions persist.




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