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Hormuz reopening boosts Kuwait’s push to revive crude production to 2 million bpd

Kuwait is moving to rapidly restore crude production as the Strait of Hormuz gradually reopens following the U.S.-Iran agreement aimed at ending months of disruption to Gulf energy exports.

Energy officials and analysts say Kuwait is targeting production levels of around 2 million barrels per day during the initial recovery phase, as regional producers work to stabilize exports and restore normal operations after one of the most severe energy disruptions in modern history.

The reopening of the strategic waterway is expected to release significant volumes of oil back into global markets. Reuters reported that millions of barrels of crude remain stranded inside the Gulf following the crisis, with tanker traffic only slowly returning to normal amid ongoing security and logistical concerns.

Kuwait was among the Gulf countries most affected by the disruption because of its heavy dependence on the Strait of Hormuz for oil exports. During the crisis, Kuwait Petroleum Corporation declared force majeure and reduced production as shipping activity through the corridor came under severe pressure.

Industry estimates suggest Kuwait could restore nearly 70 percent of suspended production within six to eight weeks after full reopening of the Strait. Energy analysts say the pace of recovery will depend on tanker availability, port operations, insurance costs and the removal of maritime security threats in the Gulf.

Before the conflict escalated, Kuwait’s oil production had been expected to exceed 2.6 million barrels per day under revised OPEC+ output targets. However, export restrictions and regional instability forced Gulf producers to cut operations sharply during the crisis.

The Strait of Hormuz handles nearly one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments, making it one of the world’s most strategically important energy corridors. The recent disruption sent oil prices sharply higher and triggered concerns over global inflation, fuel shortages and supply chain instability, according to energy market reports.

Analysts say the crisis has accelerated discussions within Kuwait and other Gulf states about reducing dependence on a single maritime route. Regional governments are now increasingly focusing on alternative export infrastructure, including pipelines, railway connectivity and overseas energy investments designed to strengthen long-term supply security.

Although oil markets have responded positively to the reopening agreement, experts caution that full normalization of Gulf energy flows could take several months. Banks and energy agencies say mine-clearing operations, shipping bottlenecks and cautious tanker operators may continue to slow recovery even after the waterway formally resumes operations.




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