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Japan breaks pacifist taboo, lethal arms exports to reshape Indo-Pacific power balance

While Western allies have praised the move as a “historic step,” Tokyo’s bold defense pivot underscores a shifting global order, where middle powers are increasingly seeking to reduce reliance on the United States and strengthen independent security capabilities.

Japan’s landmark decision to lift its decades-old ban on exporting lethal weapons has triggered a sharp divide, welcomed by allies but fiercely criticized by regional rivals.

The move marks a historic shift in Tokyo’s postwar defense posture and is expected to reshape power dynamics across the increasingly volatile Western Pacific.

The government of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi confirmed that Japanese firms can now supply advanced military equipment to 17 partner nations with existing defense agreements, reversing a restriction in place since 1967. Tokyo argues the policy is essential to strengthening both its own security and that of allied nations, dw.com reports.

Analysts say the decision is driven largely by mounting regional threats, particularly from China and North Korea. Expanding Chinese naval activity and continued missile tests by Pyongyang have intensified security concerns, pushing Japan to adopt a more proactive deterrence strategy.

Key allies such as Australia and the Philippines are set to benefit early from the policy shift. A major $6.5 billion agreement will see Tokyo supply advanced Mogami-class frigates to Australia, while Southeast Asian nations are exploring acquisitions of Japanese submarines and naval vessels to counter growing maritime pressures.

Beyond immediate defense deals, Japan is also expanding its role in next-generation military technology. It is collaborating with the UK and Italy on the Global Combat Air Program (GCAP) fighter jet and working with the United States on missile defense systems designed to counter hypersonic threats.

However, the move has sparked concern in Beijing, which accuses Japan of abandoning its pacifist principles. Critics warn that increased arms transfers could escalate tensions and accelerate an arms race in the region.

Experts also point to broader strategic motives. The policy supports Japan’s ambitions to build a competitive domestic defense industry and aligns with long-standing political efforts, dating back to former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, to expand Tokyo’s military role. It may also pave the way for revisiting Article 9 of Japan’s constitution, which renounces war.

While Western allies have praised the move as a “historic step,” the decision underscores a shifting global order, where middle powers are increasingly seeking to reduce reliance on the United States and strengthen independent security capabilities.




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